Statistical Justification of a Representative Democracy

This Demonstration shows that in an idealized representative democracy, in which representatives vote randomly with the probability of a representative voting in favor of something equal to the proportion of the population in favor of something, it is unlikely that the the majority of representatives vote one way if the majority of the population favors the other. By changing the percentage of population support and the number of representatives, you can see the odds of the correct decision (one supported by at least 50% of people) being made in a majority vote. Each representative's vote is a Bernoulli trial, and the results assume that all representatives vote independently of one another. It can be seen that even with only a few dozen representatives, the majority preference among the representatives is very likely to be the same as the majority preference among the population.

SNAPSHOTS

  • [Snapshot]
  • [Snapshot]
  • [Snapshot]

DETAILS

Clip art from openclipart.org.
    • Share:

Embed Interactive Demonstration New!

Just copy and paste this snippet of JavaScript code into your website or blog to put the live Demonstration on your site. More details »

Files require Wolfram CDF Player or Mathematica.