Stochastic Diploid Model for Gene Frequency in a Population

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Imagine a single gene with two alleles and
, where the frequency of the
allele in the gene pool of an entire population is
. Assume that this is a large and isolated population, that there is random mating, and that the fitness parameter
varies stochastically through the generations. One can then predict the frequency
of the
allele in the population after
generations.
Contributed by: Sujatha Ramakrishnan (November 2015)
(IISERTVM)
Open content licensed under CC BY-NC-SA
Snapshots
Details
J. B. S. Haldane (1924) proposed a model for the gene frequency of two phenotypes in a population. Let a pair of alleles and
occur in the ratio
.
Let be fully recessive as regards fitness and let the fitness of
in the year
relative to
and
be a stochastic parameter
.
Then ,
or equivalently,
,
where is the fraction of dominant allele
and
.
Haldane showed that polymorphism can be seen in the population as long as the geometric mean of is less than 1.
In this Demonstration, is either
or
each year with equal probability 1/2. So the condition for polymorphism is
. This Demonstration shows a time series for
. By varying
for a fixed fitness parameter
, emergence of polymorphism can be seen at noise level
.
Reference
[1] J. B. S. Haldane and S. D. Jayakar, "Polymorphism Due to Selection of Varying Direction," Journal of Genetics, 58(2), 1963 pp. 237–242. doi:10.1007/BF02986143.
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